Friday, February 22, 2019

Stephen Hawking on the Advent of ‘the Meta-Human’, II. -- ‘‘‘AI Android Robotics’’’.




Stephen Hawking on the Advent of the Meta-Human, II. --

‘‘‘AI Android Robotics’’’.







Dear Reader,

We have predicted, as the neo-ontology of the next epoch of cosmological meta-evolution -- at least locally, in our solar system -- an ontologically-dynamical, neo-ontological meta-finite singularity that we call the irruption of the meta-human -- the advent of a new «genos» of three new «species» of cosmological ontology that we call meta-humanity --

qh  =  h  =  h1,  --->  h2  =  h + Deltah  =  

h + qhh |-=  h  +  y .

We hold that none of the three, dialectically-interrelated «species» of this new «genos» of meta-humanity that we have predicted is as yet extant in the contemporary Terran ecosphere of [mere] humanity.

We also hold that protoic preformations of each of these three «species» are already extant in our times, largely, though not completely, unnoticed as such by most of our contemporaries.


Given this background, it is interesting to read the thoughts of the late physicist, Stephen Hawking, on the systematically second of these three «species, that of ‘‘‘AI Android Robotics’’’, in his posthumously published, 2018 book Brief Answers to the Big Questions [Bantam, NY] --

[pp. 184-189]: “... If computers continue to obey Moore’s Law, doubling their speed and memory capacity every eighteen months, the result is that computers are likely to overtake humans in intelligence at some point in the next hundred years.” 

“When an artificial intelligence (AI) becomes better than humans at AI design, so that it can recursively improve itself without human help, we may face an intelligence explosion that ultimately results in machines whose intelligence exceeds ours by more than ours exceeds that of snails.”

“When that happens, we will need to insure that the computers have goals aligned with ours.”

“It’s tempting to dismiss the notion of highly intelligent machines as mere science fiction, but this would be a mistake, and potentially our worst mistake ever.”

“...There is now a broad consensus that AI research is progressing steadily and that its impact on society is likely to increase.  The potential benefits are huge... .  Because of the great potential of AI, it is important to research how to reap its benefits while avoiding potential pitfalls.”

“Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history.”

“Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks.  Used as a toolkit, AI can augment our existing intelligence to open up advances in every area of science and society.  However, it will also bring dangers.  While primitive forms of artificial intelligence developed so far have proved very useful, I fear the consequences of creating something that can match or surpass humans.  The concern is that AI would take off on its own and redesign itself at an ever increasing rate.  Humans, who are limited by slow biological evolution [F.E.D.:  Not if they take up ‘human-genome self-re-engineering’, as noted elsewhere in this book by Hawking himself, although such would simply “supersede” contemporary genomic humanity in a different way.], couldn’t compete and would be superseded.  And in the future AI could develop a will of its own, a will that is in conflict with ours.” 

“Others believe that humans can command the rate of [F.E.D.:  development of] technology for a decently long time, and that the potential of AI to solve many of the world’s problems will be realised.” 

“Although I am well known as an optimist regarding the human race, I am not so sure.”

“... Little serious research has been devoted to these issues outside a few small non-profit institutes.”

“Fortunately, this is now changing.  Technology pioneers Bill Gates, Steve Wozniak and Elon Musk have echoed my concerns, and a healthy culture of risk assessment and awareness of societal implications is beginning to take root in the AI community.”

“In January 2015, I, along with Elon Musk and many AI experts, signed an open letter on artificial intelligence, calling for serious research into its impact on society.  In the past, Elon Musk has warned that superhuman artificial intelligence is capable of providing incalculable benefits, but if deployed incautiously will have an adverse effect on the human race. ...”


[pp. 193]:  Why are we so worried about artificial intelligence?  Surely humans are always able to pull the plug?

“People asked a computer, “Is there a God?” And the computer said, “There is now,” and fused the plug.”



FYI:  Much of the work of Karl Seldon, and of his collaborators, including work by “yours truly”, is available, for your free-of-charge download, via --




Regards,

Miguel Detonacciones,
Member, Foundation Encyclopedia Dialectica [F.E.D.],
Officer, F.E.D. Office of Public Liaison






















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